Poll shows a Liberal lead on the North Coast!

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A poll that was completed after the all-candidates debate, shows that Bill Belsey and the BCLiberals hold a slight lead among voters in the North Coast riding. With Gary Coons for NDP right behind.

This was in the Daily News (Wednesday’s edition).

Regardless of what Tyee (and the Election Prediction site), the vote in this riding is going to be extremely close and it can go either way, Liberal or NDP!

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[quote=“Guest”]A poll that was completed after the all-candidates debate, shows that Bill Belsey and the BCLiberals hold a slight lead among voters in the North Coast riding. With Gary Coons for NDP right behind.

This was in the Daily News (Wednesday’s edition).

Regardless of what Tyee (and the Election Prediction site), the vote in this riding is going to be extremely close and it can go either way, Liberal or NDP![/quote]

You’re talking about the poll that lumped all of the interior and the coast into one poll? With about 60 people from that entire region being asked?

So it asked people in Prince George, in Williams Lake, Terrace, everywhere, 60 of these people. Maybe 1 or 2 in Rupert. But the poll doesn’t break down ridings, it just says “interior and coast”.

It’s crap. Coons will win North Coast, but the BC Liberals will win most of the other northern seats.

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Daily News:

[quote]
The Mustel Group poll, which was taken following last week’s televised leaders debate, puts the Liberals ahead in the North Coast riding, while the Tyee and Election Prediction Project are both calling the riding for the NDP.[/quote]

Mustel Group:
(read it yourself at mustelgroup.com/press.html )

Geographically, the BC Liberals are leading in the north coast/interior region, and in the GVRD (outside the City of Vancouver). The NDP are leading on Vancouver Island (including Victoria). The two parties are in a statistical tie in the City of Vancouver and in the southern interior region ( Kamloops and south). Healthcare continues to be the predominant issue in all regions, but particularly in the southern interior.

So the Daily News isn’t exactly accurate. The poll wasn’t about the North Coast. It was about everything outside of the lower mainland and Vancouver Island.

And it was conducted before the all-candidates forum, so you’re wrong on that count too:

[quote]Survey conducted: May 5-9, 2005
Methodology: Random sample of 603 BC adults, 18 years of age and over[/quote]

They asked 603 adults across BC. Most of them in the lower mainland and vancouver island. Statistically, they may have asked one, maybe two people in the North Coast riding.

So I’ll stick with thetyee’s analysis, thanks, until there’s a real local poll happening.