That's disappointing Grant. Your analysis of LNG is very thorough but if your genius as a prognosticator is to be believed, the quoting of one poll is pretty flimsy. Even if it turns out to be correct, you can't take much credit for the prediction.
I don't plan to predict anything. But I found this article interesting.
We always blame the Greens for stealing votes from the NDP. I have often wondered about that analysis. This time around, the Green support seems to have increased. Why? Why would people leave the NDP to support the Greens? On the other hand why wouldn't soft Liberals support the Greens this time around.
There are lots of reasons to be angry at the sitting government. If you are tired of them, Andrew Weaver isn't the stereotypical tree hugging radical environmentalist that would scare off the soft Liberal supporter who could never vote NDP.
Weaver, remember, won his riding from Liberal cabinet minister Ida Chong.
Anyway, from my perspective, this election is unpredictable and to suggest otherwise (eg 47 seats to the NDP) is foolish.