The Forum research poll is no longer the “latest poll”, Angus Reid is, and they report the ndp ahead by 9% . Tomorrow that will probably change. Regardless…
Two points. First, the polls. Sometimes, they say it’s close, and sometimes, as in Angus Reid today, not so close. When was the last time the pollsters showed the NDP trailing? It’s a bit like the sorry saga of the Canucks. Some games we were close, others, not so close. The outcome?
Second point. The problem for the BC Liberals is that the relentless stream of scandals and at times outright lies have offended a significant number of former supporters. I offer an example: jamesplett.com/2013/05/10/th … s-part-35/ I’m pretty sure he’s not the only example. They are closer now because the Conservatives have been inept. But are they close enough?
i’m not aware of any similar bleeding of significant base support for the ndp. All the polls have showed their base solidly in the 41% plus range. So, if the base of one is solid, and the base of the other is not?